Speculators discover EU ETS—and like what they see
Brushing aside debatable ethical considerations, traders have been pushing the world’s largest carbon market to record highs
The first documented instance of futures trading comes during the life of Thales of Miletus, who speculated not in olive oil, but olive oil press capacity. Thales, deciding that a surplus year for olives was due after several lean years, went about to all the local olive press owners striking contracts to use their facilities, well in advance of the harvest. When the bumper crop arrived, Thales controlled all the press capacity, and profited handsomely. Unsurprisingly, society has disagreed over the influence of speculators ever since. What if the market has begun to move high enough to make green hydrogen more viable in the future, such that it could displace grey hydrogen? Intuitio
Also in this section
11 November 2025
Transition policies must recognise that significant industrial demand for carbon will continue even as economies hit net zero
6 November 2025
After years of pursuing ideologically driven climate leadership, Western powers are now stepping back under mounting political pressure and rising populist opposition—prompting concern essential climate action could be sidelined
17 October 2025
The business case for CCS is strengthening as costs decline, but deployment must accelerate to align with credible net-zero scenarios
17 October 2025
The black-tie gala recognised the energy industry’s leading innovations and thought leaders from across the value chain







