La Niña: betting on the weather
US gas prices have perked up. Will the rally last or is the market setting itself up for another fall?
EL NIÑO helped knock US natural gas prices down. Now La Niña might help lift them back up. That's what gas bulls hope, anyway. By mid-June, the Henry Hub benchmark had risen from its late winter lows of less than $2 per million British thermal units to $2.55/mBtu, its highest level in more than six months. The forward curve looks even rosier. Contracts for early 2017 are trading at just over $3/mBtu - still low by historic standards, but a welcome relief for America's hurting gas producers. Signs that the US' record-breaking gas glut is at last easing are one source of strength. On the supply side, steep spending cuts and a dive in the rig count is taking the steam out of a decade-long run o
Also in this section
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
3 March 2026
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
2 March 2026
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels






