Israel may see Turkish rapprochement logic

A break with its erstwhile East Med allies is unlikely, but a Turkish solution to Israel’s gas export conundrum could appeal

Israel has faced a problem ever since it hit as much as 28tn ft³ of gas in the Leviathan and Tamar discoveries in the Levantine basin. The finds are too much for its domestic market, and every other export option has challenges based on some combination of cost, environmental or geopolitical hurdles. How, therefore, does it get the gas to a deep enough market that will pay a sufficiently attractive price? It has tentatively moved to export some volumes to Egypt via an existing pipeline. But the quantities involved are far from the potential flows of such large reserves. Even before Covid-19, estimates of Egyptian domestic demand growth and the payability of its customer base varied widely—as