BP and Shell prepare for the worst
The UK-headquartered majors are pursuing strategies that assume the future plays out least favourably for hydrocarbons
BP and Shell have presented their new corporate strategies for a lower-carbon world as crafted to be robust and resilient under each of three global energy scenarios they both lay out. But their worst-case scenarios for oil and gas—and hence, best-case scenarios for the planet—appear to be the new strategies’ key drivers, as if the firms’ existential fears should they not radically adapt their traditional business model trumps the potential greater profit should progress be slower. Shell’s Sky 1.5 and BP’s Net Zero were both modelled to meet the Paris Agreement’s more stringent 1.5°C goal. Despite this, these energy worlds of the future are surprisingly different for each scenario —in terms
Also in this section
24 March 2026
It is an unusual story of out with the new and in with the old, as America First Refining shows the US going back to trusted energy security developments
23 March 2026
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
23 March 2026
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
20 March 2026
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system






