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Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
Brazil could be an energy trailblazer
The oil powerhouse will not just join the top five crude exporters in the coming years, it may be a model for how petrostates balance growth, policy and sustainability
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Crucial structural reforms and change in operating philosophy are needed to arrest PEMEX’s ongoing decline and restore oil production growth
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The government refuses to expand E&P access despite the NOC’s high debt pile, falling crude output and growing gas import dependence
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Challenger advances in Uruguay’s frontier
The UK-listed junior’s strategy is maturing prospects and then bringing on board bigger partners to continue development
Arrow’s oil positivity defies Colombia headwinds
CEO Marshall Abbott highlights success in the Llanos Basin and explains why Colombia has a lot of untapped potential
Brazil looks to solve its energy security travails
Despite significant crude projections over the next five years, Latin America’s largest economy could be forced to start importing unless action is taken
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Argentina makes progress on LNG dream
Eni is joining the first phase of the 30mt/yr ARGLNG, while consortium behind the smaller Southern Energy LNG has reached FID
Brazil combines a large oil potential with a relatively attractive oil and gas investment environment
Opinion
Brazil Mexico Argentina Bolivia Uruguay Colombia
Cleveland Jones
Rio de Janeiro
8 February 2022
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Letter from South America: Brazil leads the way

Brazil stands out from the rest of the continent in terms of growth potential

As surging oil prices promise to breathe new life into declining oil sectors around the world, Latin America exhibits different prospects for growth. While Guyana and Suriname have had many recent discoveries and promise to absorb significant investment into upstream projects, Guyana’s plays are still in the early stages of development, and production will ramp up significantly only after 2025. Suriname is at an even earlier stage and will depend on further exploratory successes to justify significant production projections. In Mexico, President Andres Lopez Obrador has dashed hopes that the petroleum reforms brought in by his predecessor, Pena Nieto, would result in renewed vigour and rever

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