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China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
India to help Asia spearhead global refining
Shifting demand patterns leaves most populous nation primed to become downstream leader as China and the West retreat
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Cheap gas key to unlocking new markets
Weaning poorer regions off coal means gas needs to be abundant and competitive longer term
Do not underplay China’s long-term gas growth narrative
A subdued market amid global trade tensions is just an aberration in gas’ upward trajectory
China’s critical gas position
China will play a huge role in driving gas demand, with its Qatar partnership crucial to this growth amid global structural challenges
Bad omens for Chinese oil demand
Sino-US trade tensions could see crude consumption crumble despite recent buying behaviour
Taiwan’s energy dependencies laid bare
Renewed China tensions threaten island’s inflows of oil and gas from overseas
US-China trade war will have limited impact
Tariffs likely to compound already weakening energy flows between economic powerhouses and lead to trade being rerouted
Outlook 2025: China faces up to slowing clean product demand
Structurally lower GDP growth and the need for a different economic model will contribute to a significant slowdown
Electric taxis in Shenzhen, China
Renewables Wind Solar Electric cars China Covid-19
Aaron Woolner
Peter Ramsay
5 November 2020
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Cleantech to play limited role in determining Asian demand

Oil and gas requirements in the region are unlikely to hinge on wind and solar build-out or a move to electric vehicles, at least in the near-term

Asia-Pacific countries are setting ambitious targets for expanding their renewable energy capacities as part of pathways to lower-carbon and even net-zero futures, while electric vehicles (EVs) are growing their market share. But, for regional hydrocarbons demand, these may well remain largely sideshows for the next few years. The installed capacity of renewables projects in Asia is set to reach 815GW by 2025, according to consultancy Rystad Energy. This is an increase from a 2020 level of 517GW—with solar capacity rising from 215GW to 382GW and onshore wind from 266GW to 341GW. Gas is obviously more at risk than oil of being directly impacted by renewables as a competing provider of electro

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