Newsletters | Request Trial | Log in | Advertise | Digital Issue   |   Search
  • Upstream
  • Midstream & Downstream
  • Gas & LNG
  • Trading & Markets
  • Corporate & Finance
  • Geopolitics
  • Podcasts
Search
Justin Jacobs
Beijing
24 September 2014
Follow @PetroleumEcon
Forward article link
Share PDF with colleagues

Crude prices have fallen 15% in three months

Lower oil demand growth and higher production rates have pushed the oil price down

Brent crude prices have fallen nearly 15% over the past three months, from around $113 per barrel (b) in late June to $96.65/b on 23 September. Weak oil demand, especially from China, and new supply from the US have both helped to drive prices lower. So, how much farther can oil prices fall? Bernstein Research, a price bull, has put the floor at around $90/b. Bernstein looked at seven factors, which would either boost demand or cut into supply, that it reckons will act to keep prices above $90/b. "Adding together their effects, we estimate the oil market would tighten by a full 1.5 million barrels per day (b/d), if oil price fell to $90/bbl Brent, which in turn would add $10 to $25/b to the

Also in this section
Venezuela mismanaged its oil, and US shale benefitted
14 January 2026
Chavez’s socialist reforms boosted state control but pushed knowledge and capital out of the sector, opening the way for the US shale revolution
Outlook 2026: From wells to wafers – How MENA is powering the new energy–data nexus
Outlook 2026
14 January 2026
Leading economies in the region are using oil and gas revenues to fund mineral strategies and power hyperscale computing
Outlook 2026: Peru 2026 – A confident step into a new energy era
Outlook 2026
14 January 2026
The South American country offers stable, transparent and high-potential opportunities and is now ready for fresh exploration and partnership
Europe’s rising energy security challenge
13 January 2026
Across Europe, countries have grappled with balancing ambitious energy transition plans with realities about security of supply

Share PDF with colleagues

COPYRIGHT NOTICE: PDF sharing is permitted internally for Petroleum Economist Gold Members only. Usage of this PDF is restricted by <%= If(IsLoggedIn, User.CompanyName, "")%>’s agreement with Petroleum Economist – exceeding the terms of your licence by forwarding outside of the company or placing on any external network is considered a breach of copyright. Such instances are punishable by fines of up to US$1,500 per infringement
Send

Forward article Link

Send
Sign Up For Our Newsletter
Project Data
Maps
Podcasts
Social Links
Featured Video
Home
  • About us
  • Subscribe
  • Reaching your audience
  • PE Store
  • Terms and conditions
  • Contact us
  • Privacy statement
  • Cookies
  • Sitemap
All material subject to strictly enforced copyright laws © 2025 The Petroleum Economist Ltd
Cookie Settings
;

Search