The China coal-to-gas effect
The country's policy to cut coal production capacity has sent prices around the globe soaring. It’s good news for Europe's decarbonising efforts
Coal-to-gas switching in Europe's power sector has surged as more Chinese coal buying and some supply outages pushed coal prices higher. In 2014 and 2015 China's coal demand contracted as economic growth slowed and the government implemented measures to curb pollution. Meanwhile, the country's soaring coal output exacerbated a global supply glut. But this year China has taken steps to reduce the overcapacity by pledging to close 0.5bn tonnes over the next three to five years-a 15% cut on 2015 levels. The cuts have filtered through to European coal prices. Rotterdam coal futures have risen from around $47.85 per tonne in mid-October 2015 to almost $74/t at the same time this year. Between Sep
Also in this section
14 April 2026
The GECF has warned it may revise its projections for demand this year downwards in light of conflict in the Middle East, although it maintains its forecasts for 2027 and onwards
13 April 2026
Petroleum Economist analysis highlights sharp shift from crude oversupply to market deficit, with Iraq and Kuwait badly affected and key producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE also seeing output sharply lower
13 April 2026
Turkmenistan is moving ahead with a modest expansion of the giant Galkynysh field to sustain gas deliveries abroad, but persistent delays to other key pipeline projects and geopolitical risks continue to constrain its export ambitions
13 April 2026
Expensive electricity has forced out swathes of energy-intensive industry and now threatens the country’s ability to attract future investment in datacentres and the digital economy






