The IEA thinks a supply crunch is coming
Production will not keep pace with demand within a decade unless drillers start spending money again, the agency says
A dearth of upstream investment is threatening global energy security and could lead to a 16m b/d supply shortfall by 2025, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The result would be more oil-price volatility. "We may be in trouble in a few years," says the IEA's executive director Fatih Birol. The agency represents the interests of Western energy consumers but its warning echoes those from Opec and other producers. As oil prices crested in 2014, upstream investment reached a record high of $0.78 trillion, the IEA's latest World Energy Outlook (WEO) says. Oil price weakness last year cut this to less than $0.6 trillion. The IEA expects another $140bn to go unspent in 2016. If so
Also in this section
11 February 2026
Panellists from three LNG buyers at LNG2026 in Doha outlined their evolving procurement strategies as they navigate heightened market volatility
11 February 2026
North African producer plans to boost output by early 2030, with Europe its number one priority as export destination
11 February 2026
Maritime leaders at LNG2026 warned of the dangers of over-regulation on competitiveness, sustainability and innovation
10 February 2026
The country has opened bidding on 50 blocks in a new licensing round but will face competition for attention and will need to address concerns about security and legislation






