Where next in Europe’s diesel crisis?
The fate of the continent’s supply crunch may lie elsewhere—in China, the Middle East and Russia
Europe’s diesel deficit has provided the only credible challenger to gas as the centrepiece of the continent’s energy crisis this year. Northwest Europe diesel cracks averaged $9/bl in 2021 and have averaged $40/bl so far this year—an increase of 420pc. But what has been driving the rally? And what is the outlook for European diesel pricing into 2023? Global capacity In a letter to his country’s oil executives this summer, US president Joe Biden warned the tightness in the world’s refining capacity was a “global challenge and global concern”. Biden’s words reflected the fact that c.3.5mn bl/d of distillation capacity had been shut down since the pandemic, resulting in a net decline after new
Also in this section
29 April 2026
The UAE’s exit from the alliance marks a decisive step towards a world in which oil markets are shaped less by collective management and more by national strategy
29 April 2026
Trafigura’s $1b prepayment agreement confirms African resource holders’ renewed interest in oil-backed financing deals as they look to capitalise on high oil prices
29 April 2026
The UAE’s departure from the oil producers’ group was a surprise to many, but the move can be traced back to a single point five years ago
28 April 2026
Oil traders warning of $200/bl oil are wrong, and the market should be wary of proclamations that the impact of the oil shortage has only begun to be felt and a that a ‘harsh adjustment’ is coming—even for industrialised nations






