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Related Articles
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
Will policymakers panic before the oil market?
Risks of shortages in oil products may cause world leaders to panic and make mistakes instead of letting the market do what it does best
India taking pole position on oil demand growth
The country’s rapidly expanding economy is boosting its consumption of oil as demand for the fuel slows elsewhere in the world
Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent
Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
Letter from Asia: The nuanced India-Russia oil picture
The South Asian consumer’s next move could tighten the Middle East oil market overnight
A new oil flows playbook
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
China’s new oil position
OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030
Refining Markets
Lee Nichols,
Vice-president, content,
Gulf Energy Information
5 October 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Refining Report: Biofuels lead the way

Gasoline and diesel demand set to stagnate but biofuels production due to expand significantly to 2030

Oil consumption rates have been level with or greater than consumption rates pre-Covid since Q3/Q4 2022. The IEA, the US EIA and OPEC have forecast global oil demand to hover around 102m b/d in 2023. All three organisations also forecast consumption to increase in 2024 to 102.75–104.25m b/d. In the longer term, the IEA forecasts oil consumption to increase by an additional 2.6m b/d, reaching approximately 105.7m b/d, by 2029. Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030, led by increased industrialisation and demand for refined and petrochemical products in developing nations. Refined product consumption Refined product demand is forecast to increase over the next several yea

Also in this section
Rethinking the Middle East oil topography
19 March 2026
The regional crisis highlights the undervalued role of fixed pipelines in the age of tanker flexibility
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
18 March 2026
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
Will policymakers panic before the oil market?
18 March 2026
Risks of shortages in oil products may cause world leaders to panic and make mistakes instead of letting the market do what it does best
Letter from the Middle East: LNG – the weak link the Gulf crisis just exposed
Opinion
17 March 2026
The crisis in the Middle East has put LNG’s ability to offer security and flexibility under uncomfortable scrutiny

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