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OPEC+ keeps more barrels off market in April
A fall in Venezuelan output drives overall production lower, as Saudi Arabia starts to slowly bring more crude to the market
The many faces of China’s oil demand
While economic weakness and the electric vehicles trend have hit oil demand growth, petrochemicals and jet fuel show more nuanced changes across the barrel
Supercycle goes into reverse
Oil and gas prices could come crashing down, resurrecting ghosts of trade wars past
Sustained low oil prices could kill production for years
Modest downward revisions to 2025 supply belie the longer-term damage to E&P from a weaker oil market
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 3
Technology, policy and narrative are the three biggest factors that could change the course of our 2050 outlook
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 2
A rising global population and greater urbanisation will mean increasing demand for energy, but what will be up and down in the mix? Petroleum Economist looks out to 2050 again in the second part of our long-term outlook
OPEC compliance improves amid market share threat
The surprise decision to bring on extra supply has coincided with better quota conformity from laggards in the group, Petroleum Economist analysis shows
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 1
Oil’s resilience and gas’ growth will continue to define the global energy mix into 2050, according to Petroleum Economist analysis, but that does not have to spell doom and gloom for sustainability
Letter from Austria: Traditional indicators no longer tell oil’s story
With extreme weather, refinery closures and geopolitical uncertainty reshaping supply and demand, traders must look beyond headline price movements to understand the actual state of the market
Dangote must face energy security home truths
Nigeria’s mega-refinery is traversing the world in search of crude for the majority of its needs and may well export large swathes of its products
Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030
Refining Markets
Lee Nichols,
Vice-president, content,
Gulf Energy Information
5 October 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Refining Report: Biofuels lead the way

Gasoline and diesel demand set to stagnate but biofuels production due to expand significantly to 2030

Oil consumption rates have been level with or greater than consumption rates pre-Covid since Q3/Q4 2022. The IEA, the US EIA and OPEC have forecast global oil demand to hover around 102m b/d in 2023. All three organisations also forecast consumption to increase in 2024 to 102.75–104.25m b/d. In the longer term, the IEA forecasts oil consumption to increase by an additional 2.6m b/d, reaching approximately 105.7m b/d, by 2029. Asia-Pacific will be the leader in oil demand growth to 2030, led by increased industrialisation and demand for refined and petrochemical products in developing nations. Refined product consumption Refined product demand is forecast to increase over the next several yea

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A fall in Venezuelan output drives overall production lower, as Saudi Arabia starts to slowly bring more crude to the market

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