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Related Articles
Outlook 2026: LNG markets and the overhang
A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: The US energy paradox – Efficiency at home, influence abroad
The US’ domestic energy market may be stagnating, but its role in the global energy system looks set to bloom
Outlook 2026: The next oil shock – From peak demand mirage to structural tightness
Oil prices look set to come under pressure next year as oversupply hits, but longer-term the risk is underinvestment as demand continues to grow past 2030
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Work on South Pars in 2016
Downstream Markets
James Gavin
12 April 2024
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Tehran goes it alone

Iran has announced multibillion dollar spending programmes aimed at domestic companies, inspired by recent export success

Iran’s entanglement in a worsening regional conflict with Israel is dominating headlines, but below the radar, the Islamic Republic has orchestrated an increase in oil output and exports that is feeding greater confidence in its ability to resuscitate its oil and gas sector. OPEC figures show Iranian crude production rose from an average of 2.55m b/d in 2022 to 2.86m b/d in 2023. By Q4 2023, Iranian output was above 3m b/d, a five-year high. Iran was last year ranked as the world’s second-largest source of supply growth after the US and is expected to increase production by a further 280,000b/d this year, according to the IEA. Crude exports, which fell to as low as 300,000b/d in 2020, accord

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24 December 2025
As activity in the US Gulf has stagnated at a lower level, the government is taking steps to encourage fresh exploration and bolster field development work
Outlook 2026: Revitalising Syria’s oil and gas sector – A new chapter
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A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: Energy realism regains the initiative from energy idealism
Outlook 2026
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Weakening climate resolve in the developed world and rapidly growing demand in developing countries means peak oil is still a long way away

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