Canada Energy Regulator has released its latest round of long-term energy scenarios
CER provides narrow view of Canada’s oil production future
The worst possible future for the country’s oil producers goes underexplored in scenario planning
The Canada Energy Regulator (CER) released Canada’s Energy Future 2021, its latest round of long-term energy scenarios, in early December. It introduced three scenarios—Current Policies, Evolving Policies and Towards Net-Zero—early in the report (see Fig.1). But, perhaps tellingly, it provided fully modeled results for only the two lower-carbon scenarios that are relatively benign for the future of Canadian output. By failing to do so for its Towards Net-Zero scenario, the CER has provided a much narrower of view of Canada’s potential oil production going forward. Ironically, the regulator implicitly acknowledges this point when it writes that production levels could be “significantly lower”
Also in this section
6 February 2026
The long close relationship between key supplier Qatar and pivotal buyer Japan becomes even deeper following new landmark deal
6 February 2026
Partnerships across the LNG value chain have evolved over time, growing in both complexity and importance, according to panellists at LNG2026
6 February 2026
Nigeria's mega-refinery is still trying to solve many challenges, all while its owner talks up expansion
5 February 2026
While broadly supportive of EU efforts to tackle methane emissions, representatives of the gas industry warn it could deter supply contracting if timelines and compliance requirements are not made more pragmatic
