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Stuart Penson
1 May 2024
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EU set to miss 2030 electrolyser target by 76%

High costs and uncertainty over offtake agreements are delaying project investment decisions, according to Aurora Energy Research

The installed capacity of electrolysers in Europe is set to undershoot the EU’s 2030 targets by as much as 76% because of high costs and slow progress in securing offtake agreements, according to UK-based Aurora Energy Research. Electrolysers are expected to make up more than 50% of the total hydrogen production by 2030, rising to 80% by 2040. However, expected installed electrolyser capacity in the EU of 35GW will fall way short of the targets set out under the EU’s Net Zero Industry Act and REPowerEU policies. “This shortfall is attributed to high electrolysers’ capex, rising cost of capital and, and uncertainty in offtake agreements, delaying project investment decisions,” Aurora said in

Also in this section
Letter on hydrogen: Electrolyser firms blow a fuse
4 February 2026
Europe’s largest electrolyser manufacturers are losing patience with policymakers as sluggish growth in the green hydrogen sector undermines their decision to expand production capacity
Clean ammonia: From fertiliser feedstock to future fuel
2 February 2026
As a fertiliser feedstock, it is indispensable, but ammonia’s potential as a carbon-free energy carrier is also making it central to global decarbonisation strategies
Letter on hydrogen: Mind the midstream gap
28 January 2026
The development of hydrogen’s distribution system must speed up if the industry is to stand any chance of grabbing a meaningful slice of the low-carbon energy market
Letter on hydrogen: Out of Africa
14 January 2026
Continent’s governments must seize the green hydrogen opportunity by refining policies and ramping up the development of supply chains and infrastructure

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