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Tom Young
12 August 2022
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2050 scenarios vary on policy unknowns

Demand for low-carbon hydrogen in 2050 could be anywhere between 300mn t/yr and over 800mn t/yr depending on penetration into key sectors after 2030

Demand for low-carbon hydrogen in 2050 could be anywhere between 300mn t/yr and over 800mn t/yr, according to an analysis of various different organisations’ modelling and scenarios by Hydrogen Economist. Estimates for hydrogen’s share of total global energy use range between 5pc and 20pc. The wide range of projections is a result of uncertainties around future policy, sectoral strategies and the degree to which countries are able to achieve their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement. Much of the uncertainty around the models’ projections comes in after 2030. Of the three main scenarios analysed by Hydrogen Economist—those of risk management group DNV, think tank

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Also in this section
Saudi Arabia issues license for Neom hydrogen plant
2 February 2023
1.2mn t/yr green ammonia complex is still scheduled for startup in 2026, although FID remains outstanding
EU to hold €800mn hydrogen auction
2 February 2023
The bloc will award projects with a fixed premium per kilogramme of renewable hydrogen produced
EU policy delay a greater risk than US competition – HH2E
1 February 2023
Wait for publication of Red II and its definition of what can be classed as ‘green’ hydrogen is the biggest hurdle for European projects, German developer tells Hydrogen Economist
ExxonMobil awards Feed for Baytown blue hydrogen facility
1 February 2023
The major has contracted Technip Energies for 1bn ft³/d project, with FID expected next year

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