Low-carbon hydrogen demand to grow tenfold between 2030 and 2050 in BP’s more optimistic scenarios
Hydrogen growth to accelerate from 2030s – BP
The major’s latest outlook anticipates slow growth for low-carbon hydrogen this decade, with demand expected to rise tenfold between 2030 and 2050 in two of three scenarios
The low-carbon hydrogen sector is likely to see limited growth this decade, with acceleration expected in the 2030s and 2040s, according to BP’s latest Energy Outlook report. The report models three scenarios. New Momentum is based on the current trajectory of the energy industry given the Russia-Ukraine war and passage of clean energy incentives in the US’ Inflation Reduction Act, while the more optimistic Accelerated and Net Zero scenarios are based on actions necessary to cut global CO₂ emissions by 75pc and 95pc respectively by 2050. 15-20pc – Additional power generation needed to produce green hydrogen in BP’s Accelerated and Net Zero scenarios New Momentum anticipates 165mn t o
Also in this section
25 February 2026
Low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia development is advancing much more slowly and unevenly than once expected, with high costs and policy uncertainty thinning investment. Meanwhile, surging energy demand is reinforcing the role of natural gas and LNG as the backbone of the global energy system, panellists at LNG2026 said
18 February 2026
Norwegian energy company has dropped a major hydrogen project and paused its CCS expansion plans as demand fails to materialise
4 February 2026
Europe’s largest electrolyser manufacturers are losing patience with policymakers as sluggish growth in the green hydrogen sector undermines their decision to expand production capacity
2 February 2026
As a fertiliser feedstock, it is indispensable, but ammonia’s potential as a carbon-free energy carrier is also making it central to global decarbonisation strategies
