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Stuart Penson
12 September 2025
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IEA’s bearish but bullish hydrogen review

The global project pipeline has contracted for the first time, but production can still achieve strong growth through 2030, the IEA says in its annual review of the clean hydrogen sector

The IEA has cut its 2030 clean hydrogen production forecast by a quarter as widespread cancellations and delays cause the global project pipeline to contract for the first time. Potential global production by 2030, based on industry announcements, stands at 37mt/yr, down from a forecast of 49mt/yr a year ago. Green hydrogen accounted for 80% of the reduction. When placed alongside the over-ambitious targets set five years ago by policymakers in the EU, the UK and elsewhere, these numbers look worrying. However, in absolute terms, the outlook for this nascent industry looks more positive. The IEA said production is on track for “strong growth” through 2030. “The latest data indicates th

Also in this section
Letter on hydrogen: Out of Africa
14 January 2026
Continent’s governments must seize the green hydrogen opportunity by refining policies and ramping up the development of supply chains and infrastructure
Hydrogen in 2026: Five factors to watch
6 January 2026
Shifts in government policy and rising power demand will shape the clean hydrogen sector as it attempts to gain momentum following a sluggish performance in 2025
Outlook 2026: China’s green hydrogen power play
23 December 2025
Government backing and inflow of private capital point to breakthrough year for rising star of the country’s clean energy sector
Outlook 2026: The need for co-evolving hydrogen infrastructure
19 December 2025
The hydrogen industry faces an important choice: coordinated co-evolution or patched-together piecemeal development. The way forward is integrated co-evolution, and freight corridors are a good example

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