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Israel-Iran war imperils Egypt’s energy supply
Egypt’s government was already preparing for potential energy shortages this summer, and the loss of Israeli gas supply has made things worse
The oil risk premium fable
Israel’s attack on Iran caught oil firms with low inventories due to their efforts to protect themselves from falling prices, creating a perfect storm
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
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The country is facing energy shortfalls this summer amid reduced Iranian gas imports and difficulties leasing an FSRU
OPEC+ still showing restraint
Petroleum Economist analysis shows OPEC bringing back some barrels in May, but fewer than expected, while OPEC+ continues to see output fall
Australia’s LNG flashpoint
Scapegoating foreign buyers will not solve country’s gas shortages
Cheap gas key to unlocking new markets
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Do not underplay China’s long-term gas growth narrative
A subdued market amid global trade tensions is just an aberration in gas’ upward trajectory
Is a Russia-Iran gas deal on the horizon?
Russia has ample spare gas, and Iran needs it, but sanctions and pricing pose steep hurdles.
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Australia Gas Markets
Andrew Kemp
Melbourne
2 August 2024
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Australia’s East Coast market running out of time

Looming supply shortfalls will force some difficult political decisions

Time is running out for Australia’s East Coast gas market, with projected supply shortages edging inexorably closer and the number of viable solutions dwindling. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) issued a fresh warning in early July over the situation, noting that supply shortages could emerge sooner than expected in 2027. The ACCC’s alert came three months after the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) published its annual Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) in March, declaring that gas supply shortfalls would likely appear in 2028. While the market operator expected demand to fall, it said, “gas production is forecast to fall faster” and described new supply i

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