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How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
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How Hormuz chokehold threatens LNG buyers
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Russian President Vladimir Putin observes Novatek’s LNG equipment manufacturing facility in Murmansk
Russia LNG
Tim Crawford
14 June 2024
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Moving Russian LNG into the shadows

Russia may be looking to create a dark fleet of LNG carriers to get around sanctions on Arctic LNG 2, but it will be hard to replicate its success with shadow oil tankers

Russia has defied Western sanctions on its oil exports in no small part thanks to the amassing of a large so-called ‘dark’ fleet of crude tankers. These vessels have opaque ownership, frequently switch from flag to flag of convenience and change their names, while hiding their movements and making ship-to-ship transfers on the open sea. These deceptive practices help mask the true origin of the oil and petroleum products, their destination and how they are transported, in order to circumvent sanctions. And this has largely been a success. Russia continues to sell its oil and petroleum products above price caps set by the EU and the US, and these exports are still sometimes finding their way,

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A bigger and longer crisis
20 March 2026
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
20 March 2026
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Hormuz crisis delivers tailwinds for US LNG
20 March 2026
Disruptions to Qatari LNG exports have highlighted the risks of concentrated supply, potentially strengthening the long-term position of US exporters despite limited near-term flexibility
Through the oil looking glass
20 March 2026
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends

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