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A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
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Russian President Vladimir Putin at a meeting dedicated to discussing developments in the global oil and gas market in Moscow
Politics Russia
Tim Crawford
20 March 2026
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How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock

The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term

The US successfully toppling the Iranian regime would represent a major geopolitical disaster for Russia. Moscow would lose its main ally in the Middle East, which it has relied on for years for military cooperation. projecting influence across the region and countering Western power. That loss would follow Washington’s capture in January of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro—another Kremlin ally—and his replacement with a new leader who thus far has been far more amenable to US interests. Meanwhile, Washington is also increasing pressure on the regime in Cuba, another longstanding partner of Moscow, through an oil blockade. If one were to take a Russia-centric view of US foreign policy, Wa

Also in this section
A bigger and longer crisis
20 March 2026
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
20 March 2026
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term
Hormuz crisis delivers tailwinds for US LNG
20 March 2026
Disruptions to Qatari LNG exports have highlighted the risks of concentrated supply, potentially strengthening the long-term position of US exporters despite limited near-term flexibility
Through the oil looking glass
20 March 2026
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends

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