Trump's Iran move and oil
The market should not ignore the geopolitical risks if the nuclear deal now unravels
How bullish is Donald Trump's plan to decertify the Iran nuclear deal? It might pass without much impact. But no one in the oil market should discount the alternative scenario—that new US sanctions complicate Iranian oil exports, worsen the Middle East's geopolitics, and increase the risk of more regional conflict. Although the procedure of decertification, by way of a statement to Congress, is straightforward, the politics is less so and the consequences of Trump's decision, like the president himself, are unpredictable. Rolling certification every 90 days that Iran is complying with the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was a condition Congress put on Barack Obama, an

Also in this section
24 June 2025
The country’s latest licensing round attracted bids from IOCs and NOCs in a better showing than its last outreach to bidders
24 June 2025
Africa’s second-largest oil producer is creating the right conditions for the sector to try to boost output, explains Ian Cloke, COO of UK-based Afentra
24 June 2025
The takeover, if it gets the all-clear from regulators and other government authorities, would propel XRG and its parent firm ADNOC into the top tier of global LNG players
23 June 2025
Jet fuel will play crucial role in oil consumption growth even with efficiency gains and environmental curbs, with geopolitical risks highlighting importance of plentiful stocks