Trump's Iran move and oil
The market should not ignore the geopolitical risks if the nuclear deal now unravels
How bullish is Donald Trump's plan to decertify the Iran nuclear deal? It might pass without much impact. But no one in the oil market should discount the alternative scenario—that new US sanctions complicate Iranian oil exports, worsen the Middle East's geopolitics, and increase the risk of more regional conflict. Although the procedure of decertification, by way of a statement to Congress, is straightforward, the politics is less so and the consequences of Trump's decision, like the president himself, are unpredictable. Rolling certification every 90 days that Iran is complying with the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was a condition Congress put on Barack Obama, an

Also in this section
13 June 2025
CEO argues the upstream potential remains huge as analysts question future oil production for Canadian province’s offshore industry
13 June 2025
The country is facing energy shortfalls this summer amid reduced Iranian gas imports and difficulties leasing an FSRU
12 June 2025
Asian and European interest gathers pace as Trump throws his weight behind frontier state
12 June 2025
The government is optimistic that increasing offshore activity and exploration will help revive flagging production, despite energy security fears