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Middle East gas can power regional prosperity
The Middle East natural gas playbook is being rewritten. The fuel source offers the region a pathway to a cleaner, sustainable and affordable means of local power, to fasttrack economic development and as a lucrative opportunity to better monetise its energy resources.
Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have reverberations that would sound around the world
ADNOC eyes cross-border opportunities
The Emirati company is ramping up its overseas expansion programme, taking it into new geographic areas that challenge long-held assumptions about Gulf NOCs
Israel-Iran war imperils Egypt’s energy supply
Egypt’s government was already preparing for potential energy shortages this summer, and the loss of Israeli gas supply has made things worse
The oil risk premium fable
Israel’s attack on Iran caught oil firms with low inventories due to their efforts to protect themselves from falling prices, creating a perfect storm
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
Iraq seeks alternatives to Iranian gas
The country is facing energy shortfalls this summer amid reduced Iranian gas imports and difficulties leasing an FSRU
Is a Russia-Iran gas deal on the horizon?
Russia has ample spare gas, and Iran needs it, but sanctions and pricing pose steep hurdles.
OPEC++, the sequel, has arrived
It is time to acknowledge that the US-Saudi Arabia nexus is driving a fundamental shift in OPEC strategy
Saudi-US energy ties adapt to multipolar world
Saudi Arabia and US relations can construct a new ‘field of dreams’, but opportunism may be the new rules of the game
Iran Saudi Arabia Bahrain Oman
Gerald Butt
16 November 2018
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Gulf economy planners face 2019 challenges

Uncertainty over oil prices is creating problems for GCC states as they prepare budgets for the year ahead

Not so long ago, Gulf state economists were making projections for 2019 on the basis of oil remaining in the region of $80-90 a barrel. But developments over the past weeks have forced them to get their calculators out again, as prices slipped to less than $70 a barrel. Fears about global oil shortages eased, as the US granted waivers to eight states to allow them to continue buying oil from sanctioned Iran, and President Trump urged Opec states to produce more. Another factor is the rise of US oil production to 11.6m barrels a day. The expected global tight supply has not materialised. The dilemma that economic planners in the Gulf states face is that the market looks like remaining uncerta

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