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While oil prices will determine the trajectory of the key US shale patch, regulation and technological shifts are also likely to shape direction longer term
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Pyrrhic victory: will the new Nafta agreement prove damaging for Canada?
China Canada US
Shaun Polczer
9 November 2018
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USMCA designed to keep Canada from China's orbit

Despite the deal's benefits, the US veto raises increased uncertainties over trade and investment

The new US-Mexico-Canada agreement, or USMCA, which is expected to be signed by the end of November, offers its most northerly signatory an energy 'win' by scrapping a controversial decades-old proportionality clause. But a US say in Canada's ability to strike trade agreements raises a more concrete concern than the largely symbolic victory. The USMCA, which will replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta), eliminates a proportionality clause which required Canada to maintain a fixed proportion of oil exports to the US, even in the event of a supply disruption. It was a holdover from the original US-Canada free trade agreement, signed in the late 1980s, when long queues at Americ

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