Oil and trouble in the Gulf
Gulf producers learn that regional instability no longer guarantees high oil prices
The September attacks on Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq processing plant and Khurais oil field—which took out about half the kingdom’s production—was the most serious in a string of destabilising developments in the Middle East during the summer and early autumn: the seizure of oil tankers; attacks on tankers; the sacking of the Saudi oil minister; riots in Iraq and Egypt; an acceleration of Iranian uranium enrichment; the Turkish invasion of northern Syria. Under normal circumstances, any one of these events could have triggered a prolonged spike in oil prices. After the Abqaiq/Khurais attacks, the price rose by about 20pc, but not for long. The average Brent spot price for that week was just over
Also in this section
4 March 2026
The continent’s inventories were already depleted before conflict erupted in the Middle East, causing prices to spike ahead of the crucial summer refilling season
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
3 March 2026
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis






