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US election means little to Tehran and Caracas
Geopolitical strife embroiling Iran and political corruption in Venezuela suggest little near-term change to oil production from either of the sanctioned states
Letter from South America: Sanction threat fails to curb Caracas
Washington has put oil and gas sanctions back in place while Venezuela prepares for elections. But exemptions remain as the Biden administration looks to domestic gasoline prices ahead of the US’ own elections later this year
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Venezuela’s limited oil sanctions relief
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Letter from Caracas: Venezuela and Russia’s fragile oil ties at risk
Moscow’s influence over Caracas uncertain amid upcoming elections and a shift in approach from Washington
Letter from Venezuela: A long journey back from the oil wilderness
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Letter from South America: Washington softens Caracas stance
Trinidad & Tobago’s position as a Caribbean gas hub seems more secure following US permission for it to access Venezuela’s Dragon field
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But Washington’s apparent detente with Caracas is unlikely to bolster global crude supplies significantly any time soon
Venezuela
Francisco Monaldi
19 December 2019
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Venezuela feels the heat

Punishing US sanctions will continue to inflict heavy losses on the country’s oil sector

The Venezuela oil industry has been on a death spiral since 2016, with is roots in the short-sighted policies of presidents Hugo Chavez (1999-2013) and his successor Nicolas Maduro—made worse by the oil price fall of 2014. Both presidents destroyed the national oil company by politicising it, firing its most qualified workers and over-extracting resources from it. The partial expropriation of private operators and service contractors discouraged foreign investment in new projects. In 2019, the collapse trajectory was exacerbated by the imposition of oil sale sanctions by the US. In the last quarter of 2019, production had fallen to c.650,000-700,000bl/d, about half of the 1.3mn bl/d a year

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