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An oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz
Iran Iraq Saudi Arabia UAE
Ian Simm
13 November 2020
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Hormuz threats lose their sting

As Gulf states progress bypass projects, time runs down on Iran’s sabre-rattling

The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s key oil chokepoint, with more than 20pc of global crude demand passing through the waterway each day. Repeated threats by Iran over the past decade to close its shipping lanes have thus proven headline-grabbing. Should it risk doing so, the likely result would be a material spike in oil prices as Mid-East Gulf supply was constrained. The logical next step would be swift intervention, almost certainly of a military nature, to remove any blockage if possible. While the threat has somewhat subsided over the last few years, last month Iran’s deputy commander of political affairs, General Yadollah Javani, warned that, if there was a need to close the strait, Ir

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