Hormuz threats lose their sting
As Gulf states progress bypass projects, time runs down on Iran’s sabre-rattling
The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s key oil chokepoint, with more than 20pc of global crude demand passing through the waterway each day. Repeated threats by Iran over the past decade to close its shipping lanes have thus proven headline-grabbing. Should it risk doing so, the likely result would be a material spike in oil prices as Mid-East Gulf supply was constrained. The logical next step would be swift intervention, almost certainly of a military nature, to remove any blockage if possible. While the threat has somewhat subsided over the last few years, last month Iran’s deputy commander of political affairs, General Yadollah Javani, warned that, if there was a need to close the strait, Ir

Also in this section
7 February 2025
The history of tin production and prices offers a preview of the future oil market. If correct, $35/bl could become the new normal for crude for several years without further OPEC+ intervention
7 February 2025
Changing oil demand patterns mean different downstream economics amid switch to naphtha, LPG and other petrochemicals
6 February 2025
Policy initiatives will take time to reverse declining output, and restoring investor confidence is far from certain
6 February 2025
This premier event is poised to address the evolving technology and investment demands of North America’s thriving chemical and pharmaceutical sectors