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OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC’s discipline sets tone for 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
OPEC+ exposes its producers’ limits
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Iraq appear to be only members able to increase output as Russia approaches close to maximum capacity
Letter from Vienna: OPEC at 65
Following its founding in September 1960, OPEC has become a key player in the global energy sector and a vital source of market stability
OPEC’s realignment
The group is cleansing itself of non-compliers and resetting expectations as it unwinds quicker than expected in a bid to go beyond production quotas
OPEC+ off-target in July
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Outlook 2021
Oil markets Opec
Adi Imsirovic
14 January 2021
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Opec should bear in mind its history

The past offers painful warnings against the temptations that 2021 may bring

The start of 2021 has proven as turbulent as the year just gone, even by the tumultuous historical standards of the oil industry. Saudi Arabia’s 2020 efforts to rally Opec producers and expand the scope of its wider Opec+ alliance to arrange ‘orderly’ production cuts and support prices threatened to unravel in the face of intransigence from Russia and others. The kingdom’s decision to bear an ever greater cuts burden has calmed the market for now. But, for the rest of the year and beyond, the attitude and behaviour of all Opec members and their allies will be critical for the oil market’s supply side. And, to try to see into the future, we should remind ourselves of the way Opec has behaved

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