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President Biden (left) with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on his trip to Saudi Arabia
Opinion
Opec Russia Saudi Arabia UAE US
Robin M Mills
Dubai
9 August 2022
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Letter from the Middle East: Opec balances Russia and the West

The cartel is happy to wait for further developments before committing to more drastic action

US president Joe Biden seems to have come away from his first diplomatic visit to Saudi Arabia in July empty-handed, with the Opec+ alliance in early August swiftly deciding on only a small rise in output targets from September. But the current US administration should not have expected anything different. The announced production increase by Opec+ of 100,000bl/d is so small it seems cosmetic at best and insulting at worst. And the situation is exacerbated by the fact that supply constraints mean the actual physical increment will be more like 50,000-60,000bl/d—even assuming Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Iraq make full use of their extra allowances. In contrast, a briefing by the US’s Middle Eas

Also in this section
Trump’s energy report card
11 August 2025
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamlined permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables
OPEC+ off-target in July
8 August 2025
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
7 August 2025
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
7 August 2025
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy

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