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Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have reverberations that would sound around the world
Israel-Iran war imperils Egypt’s energy supply
Egypt’s government was already preparing for potential energy shortages this summer, and the loss of Israeli gas supply has made things worse
The oil risk premium fable
Israel’s attack on Iran caught oil firms with low inventories due to their efforts to protect themselves from falling prices, creating a perfect storm
Trump creates new risk dynamic
US policies may have lasting effects in sectors such as energy, that rely on predictable rules and long-term planning
Iraq seeks alternatives to Iranian gas
The country is facing energy shortfalls this summer amid reduced Iranian gas imports and difficulties leasing an FSRU
Canada’s energy superpower ambition
The new government is talking and thinking big, and there are credible reasons to believe it is more than just grandstanding
Is a Russia-Iran gas deal on the horizon?
Russia has ample spare gas, and Iran needs it, but sanctions and pricing pose steep hurdles.
Saudi-US energy ties adapt to multipolar world
Saudi Arabia and US relations can construct a new ‘field of dreams’, but opportunism may be the new rules of the game
A new energy order in the UAE and Saudi Arabia
The two Gulf states are combining fossil fuel production with ambitions to become leaders in low-carbon energy
Australia’s post-election energy priorities
With the gas industry’s staunchest advocates and opponents taking brutal blows, the sector looks like treading a path of insipid indifference
Opinion
Iran Politics
Danial Rahmat
18 February 2025
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Letter from Iran: US sanctions cut off crude supply line

Deliveries to China decline by around 1m b/d from move to curb crude exports to Shandong port, putting Iran under further economic pressure

China’s Shandong Port Group made a significant move in January by privately instructing its ports to ban vessels sanctioned by the US Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). The directive comes after a surge in sanctioned crude tankers visiting key Chinese terminals, raising concerns about potential disruptions in supply for independent Chinese refiners, or ‘teapots’. These refiners have relied on discounted Iranian crude, especially since 2020 when flows from Iran to China started to ramp up, and such restrictions could worsen the challenges Iran faces in its oil export operations. Iran’s oil deliveries to China have sharply declined, according to recent data. Volumes dropped below 850,000

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