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Outlook 2026: Grand plan for offshore leasing should give boost to US Gulf
As activity in the US Gulf has stagnated at a lower level, the government is taking steps to encourage fresh exploration and bolster field development work
Outlook 2026: LNG markets and the overhang
A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: The US energy paradox – Efficiency at home, influence abroad
The US’ domestic energy market may be stagnating, but its role in the global energy system looks set to bloom
Outlook 2026: Trump’s LNG diplomacy will likely run into commercial, regulatory reality
The president is aiming for ‘energy dominance’ via LNG sales, largely to Europe, but supply is set to outstrip demand, and EU regulations remain a stumbling block
Outlook 2026: The next oil shock – From peak demand mirage to structural tightness
Oil prices look set to come under pressure next year as oversupply hits, but longer-term the risk is underinvestment as demand continues to grow past 2030
Outlook 2026: US onshore holds steady at sluggish rate as shale stagnates
As contradictory as it might seem, US oil output has continued to grow over the last several years, even as drilling in the shale plays has maintained a slow decline. This improbable dichotomy is a testimony to the industry’s technological prowess
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
South Korea’s Hyundai Kona electric vehicle on display at the 2023 New York International Auto Show
Opinion
US Markets
Roger Bezdek
Washington, DC
20 April 2023
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Letter from the US: Biden calls time on petroleum-fuelled vehicles

Rules mandating EV sales will transform the US automotive industry, but there are significant practical and judicial challenges

The Biden administration introduced rules in mid-April mandating that electric vehicles (EVs) comprise 60pc of new US vehicles sold by 2030 and 67pc by 2032. The rules will essentially regulate internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) out of business by being so stringent that car companies will not be able to comply. However, sales will likely fall well short of the administration’s targets, with the EIA forecasting that EVs’ share of US vehicle stocks will increase from 1pc in 2021 to only 9pc in 2050. And the regulation could create a host of problems unless technological progress makes EVs categorically cheaper and more convenient to use than their gasoline equivalents, prompting lawy

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Outlook 2026: The algorithmic arms race for energy
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The surge in power demand created by the AI boom means energy policy and national security are now one and the same

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