Uncertainty reigns in oil markets
Analysts see price drivers both to the upside and to the down
The Brent crude price was back below $70/bl in late May, having peaked above $74/bl in April, but still well above the $60-65/bl range observed during most of Q1. Some of the oil analysis world's most recognisable names discussed the oil market's short-term outlook at the S&P Global Platts Gepec conference in May. The clearest conclusion was that the market faces unprecedented uncertainty on both the demand and supply sides. The most immediate supply issue is disruptions, which—with Iranian and Venezuelan problems compounded by the Druzhba pipeline outage hitting Russian exports—is at "record levels", according to Chris Midgley, global director of analytics at consultancy Platts Analytic
Also in this section
23 April 2026
The addition of an oil pipeline to the Power of Siberia 2 gas project could ensure deliveries of Russian oil to China, materially shorten logistics lines between West Siberia and final customers, and—amid disruption in the Strait of Hormuz—offer a land-based export route that reduces exposure to maritime chokepoints
23 April 2026
There is a clear push to bolster exports to Asia amid uncertainty around its North American neighbour, but there are limits to the benefits from the energy crisis
23 April 2026
Shell made the play-opening discovery in Namibia’s Orange basin back in 2022, but its next well could decide whether the project can actually be commercialised
22 April 2026
The failure of OMV Petrom’s keenly watched exploration campaign at Bulgaria’s Han Asparuh block highlights the Black Sea’s uneven track record, despite major successes like Neptun Deep and Sakarya






