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OPEC+ off-target in July
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
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The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Letter from Austria: OPEC delivers wake-up call
A brutally honest picture about the potential role of oil and gas in 2050 should prompt policymakers to not only reflect but also change course to meet vital energy needs
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Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
OPEC+ still showing restraint
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OPEC+ keeps more barrels off market in April
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Opec Covid-19
Peter Ramsay
14 July 2020
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Oil market mulls demand risks

Crude price comes under pressure from concerns over a second coronavirus wave just as Opec+ considers loosening the supply taps. But are the worries overdone?

The Nymex WTI crude contract dipped back below $40/bl on Tuesday morning, while Ice Brent struggled to hold its ground above $42.50/bl. Fears that a resurgence of Covid-19 in the US might take a chunk out of demand just as Opec+ announces a relaxation of production cuts at its Wednesday meeting set the bearish tone. The concern is understandable—the UKs’ Office for National Statistics (ONS) released figures on Tuesday morning that showed the country’s economy rebounding more slowly than expected in May, emphasising he fragility of demand. But there are also more positive demand-side factors of that traders should be mindful beyond the headlines coming out of large US states. Production boost

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