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Asia China Markets
Shi Weijun
Shanghai
21 December 2023
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Asia’s changing oil market landscape

Chinese demand is at the forefront of shifting oil contours for Asia for 2024 and beyond

Asian oil markets are poised for a shake-up, as a diverse mix of global supply and demand factors—ranging from a slowdown in Chinese imports to new supply developments influencing where Japanese and Korean buyers source volumes—come into play in the months ahead to potentially reshape long-term trends in the region. China features prominently on the list of uncertainties in the final weeks of 2023 and heading into the new year. Chinese demand has been the biggest driver of the relative oil price strength, with imports expanding by 1.6m b/d year-on-year so far in 2023, to 10.9m b/d, but they are set to trend lower in the final quarter, falling from an average of 11.4m b/d in the first half of

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