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OPEC+ off-target in July
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
A third distillate disruption
Diesel market disruptions have propelled crude prices above $100/bl twice in this century, and now oil teeters on the brink of another crude quality crisis
Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
Letter from Austria: OPEC delivers wake-up call
A brutally honest picture about the potential role of oil and gas in 2050 should prompt policymakers to not only reflect but also change course to meet vital energy needs
OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
Gas pricing finds a new norm
Gas-on-gas competition pricing has grown its share of consumption significantly over the past two decades, primarily at the expense of oil-price-escalation pricing, according to the IGU
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
Oil demand ramps up air miles
Jet fuel will play crucial role in oil consumption growth even with efficiency gains and environmental curbs, with geopolitical risks highlighting importance of plentiful stocks
China has also benefitted from buying discounted sanctioned crude
Asia China Markets
Shi Weijun
Shanghai
21 December 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Asia’s changing oil market landscape

Chinese demand is at the forefront of shifting oil contours for Asia for 2024 and beyond

Asian oil markets are poised for a shake-up, as a diverse mix of global supply and demand factors—ranging from a slowdown in Chinese imports to new supply developments influencing where Japanese and Korean buyers source volumes—come into play in the months ahead to potentially reshape long-term trends in the region. China features prominently on the list of uncertainties in the final weeks of 2023 and heading into the new year. Chinese demand has been the biggest driver of the relative oil price strength, with imports expanding by 1.6m b/d year-on-year so far in 2023, to 10.9m b/d, but they are set to trend lower in the final quarter, falling from an average of 11.4m b/d in the first half of

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OPEC+ off-target in July
8 August 2025
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
7 August 2025
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
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