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Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
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There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
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New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
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Shifting demand patterns leaves most populous nation primed to become downstream leader as China and the West retreat
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Cheap gas key to unlocking new markets
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Do not underplay China’s long-term gas growth narrative
A subdued market amid global trade tensions is just an aberration in gas’ upward trajectory
China’s critical gas position
China will play a huge role in driving gas demand, with its Qatar partnership crucial to this growth amid global structural challenges
Bad omens for Chinese oil demand
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Taiwan’s energy dependencies laid bare
Renewed China tensions threaten island’s inflows of oil and gas from overseas
China is producing record amounts of crude
China Trading
Shi Weijun
Shanghai
4 August 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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China pumps record crude despite economic headwinds

Record domestic production and high imports contrast with weak economic growth to raise the question of how much more crude China can store

China’s apparent crude demand has continued to defy stalling momentum in the world’s number two economy, with robust consumption projected through the rest of this year. But the unusually high volumes raise questions about how much is genuine consumption and how long the mismatch can last. China is producing record amounts of crude and importing vast amounts of it, reflecting a strength of demand that is increasingly difficult to reconcile with underwhelming economic activity. Chinese majors produced 4.28m b/d domestically in June, up by 1.9% from a year ago and nearly 600,000b/d more than when domestic output fell to a low of 3.71m b/d in September 2018—a gain that exceeds what some OPEC+ n

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