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Reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low
Saudi Arabia Markets
Ahmed Mehdi
29 June 2023
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Saudi output cut creates tight sour crude market

Move triggers flurry of Middle East-China trading with Unipec flooding market with Omani cargoes and rival Petrochina snapping them up

Ice Brent has traded in a narrow range of $73–77/bl since Saudi Arabia announced a 1mn bl/d voluntary output cut in June. While the crude flat price has flattered to deceive, the story remains different in the sour crude market, where differentials have rallied. The Dubai ‘window’—used to assess the tradeable value of spot crude loading from the Middle East—has seen one of its most active trading months ever. The reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low of 9mn bl/d when it takes effect in July. It is scheduled for one month only, but the Kingdom has reserved the option of extending it into August. Having already pledged a 500,000bl/d cut earlier this year, Saudi Ara

Also in this section
Through the oil looking glass
20 March 2026
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends
Rethinking the Middle East oil topography
19 March 2026
The regional crisis highlights the undervalued role of fixed pipelines in the age of tanker flexibility
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
18 March 2026
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
Will policymakers panic before the oil market?
18 March 2026
Risks of shortages in oil products may cause world leaders to panic and make mistakes instead of letting the market do what it does best

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