Reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low
Saudi output cut creates tight sour crude market
Move triggers flurry of Middle East-China trading with Unipec flooding market with Omani cargoes and rival Petrochina snapping them up
Ice Brent has traded in a narrow range of $73–77/bl since Saudi Arabia announced a 1mn bl/d voluntary output cut in June. While the crude flat price has flattered to deceive, the story remains different in the sour crude market, where differentials have rallied. The Dubai ‘window’—used to assess the tradeable value of spot crude loading from the Middle East—has seen one of its most active trading months ever. The reduction in Saudi volumes will bring production to a two-year low of 9mn bl/d when it takes effect in July. It is scheduled for one month only, but the Kingdom has reserved the option of extending it into August. Having already pledged a 500,000bl/d cut earlier this year, Saudi Ara
Also in this section
25 July 2025
Mozambique’s insurgency continues, but the security situation near the LNG site has significantly improved, with TotalEnergies aiming to lift its force majeure within months
25 July 2025
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
24 July 2025
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
24 July 2025
Trump energy policies and changing consumer trends to upend oil supply and demand
