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The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
China’s new oil position
OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
The AI industry’s coming dominance of oil and gas
Tech giants rather than oil majors could soon upend hydrocarbon markets, starting with North America
Canadian producers positioned to ride out the downcycle
The country’s upstream players have demonstrated resilience to low oil prices and are well positioned to prosper despite a volatile market
OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC+ set to strengthen its hand
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
Oil in 2026: Five factors to watch
Petroleum Economist takes a look at the critical developments that look set to govern the course of the market for this year
Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Oil’s tanker transformation
The global maritime oil transport sector enters 2026 facing a rare convergence of crude oversupply, record newbuild deliveries and the potential easing of several geopolitical disruptions that have shaped trade flows since 2022
Letter from the US: The curse of strong energy exports
Rebuilding industry, energy dominance and lower energy costs are key goals that remain at odds in 2026
NOCs are central for the economies of oil-producing nations
NOCs Markets
Adi Imsirovic
27 March 2024
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NOCs must straddle two worlds

Oil producers have to untangle the increasingly complicated relationship with their natural resources

Oil executives at Houston’s CERAWeek conference in March were patting themselves on the backs for excellent financial results and their mutual agreement that producing more fossil fuels is what the world needs. “We should abandon the fantasy of phasing out oil and gas, and instead invest in them adequately,” said the CEO of Saudi NOC Aramco, Amin Nasser. Around the same time, UN agency the World Meteorological Organization issued a report stating that: “Climate change indicators reached record levels in 2023.” In fact, these levels were far higher than what models predicted, making Gavin Schmidt, a climatologist and director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, admit that: “Climate

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The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
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