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Special Report: Lighting the way out of bad energy policy
How New Zealand highlights the importance of a clear, consistent and considered approach to oil and gas
Outlook 2026: US onshore holds steady at sluggish rate as shale stagnates
As contradictory as it might seem, US oil output has continued to grow over the last several years, even as drilling in the shale plays has maintained a slow decline. This improbable dichotomy is a testimony to the industry’s technological prowess
New Zealand is back open for business
The removal of the ban on oil and gas exploration and an overhaul of the system sends all the right messages for energy security, affordability and sustainability
New Zealand’s gas horror story will haunt for years to come
The economic and environmental cost of the seven-year exploration ban will be felt long after its removal
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
The duality of US shale
A sector beset by pessimism and pain amid price weakness contrasts with data signalling production strength and resilience
US Politics
Ehsan ul-Haq
11 December 2024
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Trump tariffs could upend oil flows

Potential tariff hikes against Canada and Mexico may hurt US refiners and change supply dynamics in global oil trade reshuffle

US President-elect Donald Trump has indicated a potential imposition of a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico upon taking office, associating this measure with the rising influx of narcotics and migrants. Amid the outcry from the two US neighbours, Trump will be listening to the concerns from closer to home: US refiners and the oil-dependent industries. Present trade relationships are governed by the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement. As the tariff proposal was disclosed approximately two months before its implementation, both governments will have the opportunity to respond and potentially engage in negotiations for an alternativ

Also in this section
Special Report: Lighting the way out of bad energy policy
16 December 2025
How New Zealand highlights the importance of a clear, consistent and considered approach to oil and gas
Petroleum Economist: December 2025/January 2026
16 December 2025
The December 2025/January 2026 issue of Petroleum Economist is out now!
Outlook 2026: The next oil shock – From peak demand mirage to structural tightness
Outlook 2026
16 December 2025
Oil prices look set to come under pressure next year as oversupply hits, but longer-term the risk is underinvestment as demand continues to grow past 2030
Why the Gulf will be the stabilising force in an uncertain energy transition
16 December 2025
Abdullah Aljarboua serves as a senior fellow in the energy macro & microeconomics programme at KAPSARC. His work spans macroeconomics, energy-economic modelling, large-scale optimisation and advanced computational techniques for modelling complex energy policy dynamics. Here he speaks with Petroleum Economist about the Gulf region’s role in shaping the energy landscape over the coming decades

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