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Related Articles
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy
An end to EU green illusions
EU industry and politicians are pushing back against the bloc’s green agenda. Meanwhile, Brussels’ transatlantic trade deal with Washington could consolidate US energy dominance
Trump’s Russia threat rings hollow
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
US oil sector faces complicated path
Trump energy policies and changing consumer trends to upend oil supply and demand
India ready for turbulent times
The country’s energy minister explains in an exclusive interview how the country is taking a pragmatic and far-sighted approach to energy security and why he has great confidence in its oil sector
California refiners dreaming of heyday
US downstream sector in key state feels the pain of high costs, an environmental squeeze and the effects of broader market trends
Mars attacks US oil industry
Crude quality issues are an often understated risk to energy security, highlighted by problems at a key US refinery
New Zealand backs gas, but results take time
Government is sending out the right policy signals to support increased domestic gas development, but policy takes time to implement and even longer to yield results
Bakken oil output may hold its ground
While oil prices will determine the trajectory of the key US shale patch, regulation and technological shifts are also likely to shape direction longer term
South Korea’s transition bottlenecks keep LNG in play
The country’s new government has grand plans for renewables, but the structural changes needed for these policies will take years to carry out
Opinion
Politics Transport fuel US
Philip K. Verleger
Denver
15 January 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Letter from the US: Trump and $1 gasoline

The oil and gas industry will replace its capital discipline with Trump compliance and consumers will benefit from lower gasoline prices

The incoming Trump administration wants low gasoline prices. The data makes clear that the high fuel prices of 2023 and early 2024 contributed to the president-elect’s victory, and a return of high prices in 2025 and 2026 could lead to significant Democratic gains in the midterm elections. Trump will try to prevent this by granting the oil industry’s wishes for less regulation and more leasing and then demanding large output increases to hold down prices. The 3:3:3:1 Plan The incoming president’s nominee for secretary of the treasury, Scott Bessent, has announced his ‘3:3:3 plan’. This entails increasing growth to 3%, cutting the budget deficit to 3% of GDP and raising US energy production b

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8 August 2025
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
7 August 2025
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
7 August 2025
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy
A third distillate disruption
6 August 2025
Diesel market disruptions have propelled crude prices above $100/bl twice in this century, and now oil teeters on the brink of another crude quality crisis

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