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The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
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OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
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US President Donald Trump addressing the World Economic Forum via videolink
Markets Saudi Arabia UAE US
Dania Saadi
13 March 2025
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Mideast Gulf oil exporters may engage in price war

The spectre of Saudi Arabia’s 2020 market share strategy haunts a suffering OPEC+ as Trump upends the energy world

Mideast Gulf producers in OPEC+ may eventually get into an oil price war with their American rivals and perhaps non-compliant members to claw back market share lost from extended and deep quota cuts while, at the same time, contemplating investments in the US energy sector to get in President Donald Trump’s good books. Saudi Arabia and seven members of OPEC+ seem to have acquiesced to Trump’s demands to lower oil prices by agreeing to proceed with the gradual unwinding of 2.2m b/d of voluntary cuts starting in April, after delaying the plan three times before he came to power. “At some point, OPEC is going to have to consider going into a price war mode,” said Jim Krane, energy research fell

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New Zealand embraces LNG
27 February 2026
LNG would serve as a backup supply source as domestic gas declines and the country’s energy system comes under stress during periods of low hydropower output and high energy demand
The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
27 February 2026
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
Energy week in Riyadh to convene energy leaders across policy, markets and technology
27 February 2026
The 25th WPC Energy Congress to take place in tandem as part of a coordinated week of high-level ministerial, institutional and industry engagements
Upstream looks to deepwater rescue
27 February 2026
The deepwater sector must be brave by fast-tracking projects and making progress to seize huge offshore opportunities and not become bogged down by capacity constraints and consolidation

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