OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
OPEC+ has added just 160,000b/d of oil to the market since it started unwinding its production cuts in April, according to Petroleum Economist estimates. This is far below its pledged increase of nearly 960,000b/d. However, global demand has remained unexpectedly resilient, with lower fuel prices and a weaker dollar boosting consumption, especially in developing economies. This sustained consumption growth is keeping prices buoyant above $65/bl, even amid broader economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Whether these price levels will pressure shale producers and OPEC+ quota-breakers into compliance remains uncertain. Despite uneven compliance across the OPEC+ bloc, heavyweights within

Also in this section
25 July 2025
KRG, Iraq’s central government and Turkey are all working to get exports flowing from the key port, but complications remain
25 July 2025
Mozambique’s insurgency continues, but the security situation near the LNG site has significantly improved, with TotalEnergies aiming to lift its force majeure within months
25 July 2025
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
24 July 2025
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats