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Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
Hormuz crisis delivers tailwinds for US LNG
Disruptions to Qatari LNG exports have highlighted the risks of concentrated supply, potentially strengthening the long-term position of US exporters despite limited near-term flexibility
Through the oil looking glass
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
Will policymakers panic before the oil market?
Risks of shortages in oil products may cause world leaders to panic and make mistakes instead of letting the market do what it does best
India taking pole position on oil demand growth
The country’s rapidly expanding economy is boosting its consumption of oil as demand for the fuel slows elsewhere in the world
Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
Trump’s bid to reshape the global energy order
From Venezuela to Hormuz, the US—backed by the most powerful military force ever assembled—is redrawing not only oil and gas flows but also the global balance of energy power
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
A gas station board in the US on 3 March
Markets US
Ehsan ul-Haq
4 March 2026
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Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox

The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran

US President Donald Trump has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices below $2/gal and mentioned relatively low prices in several states in his recent State of the Union address. However, this ambition conflicts with the “drill, baby, drill” mantra that characterised his election campaign because the low oil prices needed to reach that gasoline price often discourage oil companies from drilling more. Increased oil production from Venezuela could lower gasoline prices, but a significant increase in production in the Orinoco Belt remains several years away. The most immediate concern is the US war with Iran, which is pushing up crude oil and gasoline prices. It remains to be seen how long

Also in this section
Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
23 March 2026
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
23 March 2026
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
A bigger and longer crisis
20 March 2026
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
20 March 2026
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term

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