Out to sea

There is still potential for offshore upstream around the world. Our series of articles investigates the challenges and opportunities in depth.

OFFSHORE upstream is now a game of two halves. Production continues apace in many regions, founded on investment made at $100 oil, while offshore licensing rounds have generally been met with lukewarm responses. Despite some bright spots, there is no disguising the dramatic downturn. Baker Hughes’ international rotary rig count shows a sharp decline in active offshore rigs from 334 in November 2014, when oil prices were starting to slide, to 211 in March this year. That collapse accompanies a sharp drop in expenditure, which isn’t going to recover soon. In a recent report, consultancy Douglas Westwood forecast subsea hardware spending will total $94.3bn in 2016-20 – a 19% fall from the 2011-