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OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
Arctic LNG 2 adds Arc7 to its shadow fleet
Having found a steady buyer in China for its sanctioned gas, the Russian project is positioned for nearly year-round operations, yet its 11-vessel ‘shadow fleet’ is still insufficient to achieve anywhere near capacity utilisation.
OPEC’s discipline sets tone for 2026
OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
Lukoil loses its growth prospects
The Russian firm made a significant attempt to expand overseas over the past two decades but is now trying to divest its global operations
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Russia Opec
Jason Corcoran
Moscow
1 September 2017
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Russia's greenfields ready and waiting

Russia's greenfields hold abundant cheap reserves. How long can its companies resist the cash flow they offer?

Russia's firms just aren't able to resist the allure of the country's vast untapped greenfield potential. And, in tandem with another bout of weaker oil prices and a robust ruble, a surge in drilling for new fields is a problem for its pledge to keep cutting oil supply. Not that the commitment to the deal with Opec is faltering just yet. Russia's output remained flat for the third month in a row in July—good news as the country welcomed other producer countries to St Petersburg for a meeting of the committee that monitors the cuts. Make no mistake though, if and when the deal falters—and it has been on shakier ground lately—a Russia production ramp-up will be relatively painless due to the n

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