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IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
OPEC+ still showing restraint
Petroleum Economist analysis shows OPEC bringing back some barrels in May, but fewer than expected, while OPEC+ continues to see output fall
Is a Russia-Iran gas deal on the horizon?
Russia has ample spare gas, and Iran needs it, but sanctions and pricing pose steep hurdles.
Europe’s hard choices on gas security
EU half measures over storage regulation, geopolitical risks to ending Russian gas, power outage questions and China’s LNG resale leverage make for a challenging path ahead.
Russia’s implausible gas strategy
The country may have the resources, but sanctions and a lack of market access make its gas ambitions look very questionable
OPEC+ keeps more barrels off market in April
A fall in Venezuelan output drives overall production lower, as Saudi Arabia starts to slowly bring more crude to the market
OPEC compliance improves amid market share threat
The surprise decision to bring on extra supply has coincided with better quota conformity from laggards in the group, Petroleum Economist analysis shows
OPEC+ plays with a straight bat
The oil alliance’s decision to keep to the plan amid tightening economic fundamentals seems to have been lost in the global geopolitical maelstrom, misplaced market speculation and haze of conjecture
Russia Opec
Jason Corcoran
Moscow
1 September 2017
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Russia's greenfields ready and waiting

Russia's greenfields hold abundant cheap reserves. How long can its companies resist the cash flow they offer?

Russia's firms just aren't able to resist the allure of the country's vast untapped greenfield potential. And, in tandem with another bout of weaker oil prices and a robust ruble, a surge in drilling for new fields is a problem for its pledge to keep cutting oil supply. Not that the commitment to the deal with Opec is faltering just yet. Russia's output remained flat for the third month in a row in July—good news as the country welcomed other producer countries to St Petersburg for a meeting of the committee that monitors the cuts. Make no mistake though, if and when the deal falters—and it has been on shakier ground lately—a Russia production ramp-up will be relatively painless due to the n

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