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IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
OPEC+ still showing restraint
Petroleum Economist analysis shows OPEC bringing back some barrels in May, but fewer than expected, while OPEC+ continues to see output fall
OPEC+ keeps more barrels off market in April
A fall in Venezuelan output drives overall production lower, as Saudi Arabia starts to slowly bring more crude to the market
OPEC compliance improves amid market share threat
The surprise decision to bring on extra supply has coincided with better quota conformity from laggards in the group, Petroleum Economist analysis shows
OPEC+ plays with a straight bat
The oil alliance’s decision to keep to the plan amid tightening economic fundamentals seems to have been lost in the global geopolitical maelstrom, misplaced market speculation and haze of conjecture
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Outlook 2025: The importance of ensuring a just transition for developing nations
While the global energy transition is essential for reaching net zero, it is equally important that less-developed countries are allowed to realise the benefits of their hydrocarbon resources
Letter from the UK: A positive legacy for OPEC?
Oil producer group could spearhead the shift to cleaner energy in member countries and be part of transition solution
Covid-19 Opec Guyana Permian
Charles Waine
19 March 2020
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US upstream companies feel the strain

Economic uncertainty forces E&Ps to significantly revise down their capital budgets

The Covid-19 outbreak seemed little more than another temporary shock to long-term rangebound energy markets barely a month ago. China appeared to have contained a largely localised phenomenon, and observers were estimating how long it would take Asian demand to recover. Oil producers stuck firmly to their 2020 production guidance.  But events have changed radically. Europe is now the epicentre of a global emergency that could last months and test the healthcare capabilities of governments throughout the world. The associated collapse in global energy demand—and uncertainty how and when supply will respond in the wake of Opec+ disarray—have shocked commodity markets. “The weak global economy

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