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OPEC+ off-target in July
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Fortunes of the global economy have resulted in an increasingly fragile outlook for the oil market
Upstream Markets
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
25 May 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Oil industry faces long-term investment crunch threat, says IEA’s Bosoni

‘Mature’ US shale industry, stranded asset risks and clean tech challenges mean sufficient energy supply could be in doubt beyond this investment cycle

The fortunes of the global economy have resulted in an increasingly fragile outlook for the oil market, with China’s tentative recovery and the US’ battle with inflation and banking uncertainty being key factors. This has unnerved Opec+ and prompted two sets of production cuts in less than six months, creating an uneasy tension between producers and consumers as the question of how to balance the market becomes ever harder to answer. The head of the IEA’s oil market division, Toril Bosoni, spoke to Petroleum Economist in an exclusive interview about where the oil market is heading in the near term and on the evolving role of investment, US shale and climate policies further out. How signific

Also in this section
Trump’s energy report card
11 August 2025
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamline permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables
OPEC+ off-target in July
8 August 2025
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
7 August 2025
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
7 August 2025
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy

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