Letter from London: Beware false prophets
The oil and gas sector’s renewed upstream activity stands in marked contrast to just a few years ago, highlighting that the market does indeed cycle
The oil and gas upstream has changed significantly in the last few years, shifting gears from the pandemic-era doldrums to the current period, with re-energised majors once more focused on exploration and investment. The trends of the past three years demonstrate how all commodity markets experience cycles of investment and divestment and of optimism and pessimism despite false claims that it is radically different this time. When your correspondent started working for Petroleum Economist back in 2021, the upstream environment was radically different. The pandemic caused a global slump in oil and products demand, and with it a steep drop-off in upstream investment across the board. The exten
Also in this section
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
3 March 2026
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis
2 March 2026
A potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the escalating US-Iran conflict risks disrupting Qatari LNG exports that underpin global gas markets, exposing Asia and other markets to sharp price spikes, cargo shortages and renewed reliance on dirtier fuels






