Kazakhstan’s Tengiz growth tests OPEC+ limits
The oilfield expansion provides a fresh influx of revenue but will strain its cooperation with OPEC+ and fails to mask deeper issues with the economy and investors
Chevron and its partners completed a $48.5b expansion at Kazakhstan’s largest oilfield, Tengiz, in late January—three years later than planned and nearly a third over budget. With the project already driving national oil and gas condensate above 2m b/d in January, and crude itself set to test OPEC+ quota limits once again, Kazakhstan must decide whether it will return to flouting its agreement to an even greater degree or renegotiate its deal. The most likely course is for the Central Asian producer to remain part of the group to support diplomatic ties with its leading members and find a compromise. Meanwhile, the influx of revenue from the expansion offers relief for the government’s strai
Also in this section
28 April 2026
Oil traders warning of $200/bl oil are wrong, and the market should be wary of proclamations that the impact of the oil shortage has only begun to be felt and a that a ‘harsh adjustment’ is coming—even for industrialised nations
28 April 2026
Restoring supply from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Iraq involves complexities far beyond simply adjusting operational controls
28 April 2026
Datacentres will guzzle power at a ferocious rate, but the impact on wider energy markets will be far more complex than previously thought
28 April 2026
The key energy player faces balancing regional routes, political complexities, and creating a clear strategic vision for energy security






